ABSTRACT
Spatial-temporal analysis of the COVID-19 cases is critical to find its transmitting behaviour and to detect the possible emerging clusters. Poisson's prospective space-time analysis has been successfully implemented for cluster detection of geospatial time series data. However, its accuracy, number of clusters, and processing time are still a major problem for detecting small-sized clusters. The aim of this research is to improve the accuracy of cluster detection of COVID-19 at the county level in the U.S.A. by detecting small-sized clusters and reducing the noisy data. The proposed system consists of the Poisson prospective space-time analysis along with Enhanced cluster detection and noise reduction algorithm (ECDeNR) to improve the number of clusters and decrease the processing time. The results of accuracy, processing time, number of clusters, and relative risk are obtained by using different COVID-19 datasets in SaTScan. The proposed system increases the average number of clusters by 7 and the average relative risk by 9.19. Also, it provides a cluster detection accuracy of 91.35% against the current accuracy of 83.32%. It also gives a processing time of 5.69 minutes against the current processing time of 7.36 minutes on average. The proposed system focuses on improving the accuracy, number of clusters, and relative risk and reducing the processing time of the cluster detection by using ECDeNR algorithm. This study solves the issues of detecting the small-sized clusters at the early stage and enhances the overall cluster detection accuracy while decreasing the processing time.